National Polling: Romney and Giuliani are dropping. McCain spiked when Fred Thompson got in (Fred jumped as well), but they're both slipping a little. Mike Huckabee looks like the only one still gaining ground nationally, although he's dropped some in IA, NH and SC.
October Challenge: Today is the offical start of OKforHuckabee's OCTOBER CHALLENGE. I'm planning on starting to email all the Oklahoma Republican legislators in the coming days. In fact, my first emails to State Representatives just went out... the first of many emails to come.
American Research Group: I'm beginning to wonder about the accuracy of ARG's polls. They've always been somewhat different than the other polls.
Newsweek Iowa Poll:
First Choice:
Mitt Romney 25%
Fred Thompson 16%
Rudy Giuliani 15%
John McCain 7%
Mike Huckabee 6%
Sam Brownback 3%
Tom tancredo 3%
Ron Paul 2%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Undecided 21%
Leaning:
Mitt Romney 24%
Fred Thompson 16%
Rudy Giuliani 13%
Mike Huckabee 12%
John McCain 9%
Ron Paul 5%
Tom Tancredo 3%
Sam Brownback 2%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Undecided 15%
(Note: The set-up for this poll was slightly confusing...)
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"Mike Huckabee looks like the only one still gaining ground nationally, although he's dropped some in IA, NH and SC."
ReplyDeleteWhy do you suppose that is? All I could think of is either a flaw in the poll about who are the true likely caucus-goers, and/or the continued media hammering about the "frontrunners." Everywhere Huckabee goes, the people like him. And, he's perfect for Iowa Republicans.
I see him as in 2nd place in Iowa right now, if the Iowa Caucuses were held, and I'd predict Romney at about 29% and Huckabee at about 20%, with Thompson in the teens and everyone else in single digits. I followed progress before the Ames Straw Poll, and called Romney and Huckabee almost on the nose. Huckabee still has 3 months to continue building there.
If there is a Huckabee supporter group in Tulsa, I'd like to help. Dan Wise www.danwise2006@yahoo.com
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